The Seismicity of Afyon and Ms Surroundings: Isoseist Map of 03 February 2002 Çay Earthquake, and Earthquake Risk Analysis
ABSTRACT: Earthquake is the most important natural disaster in Turkey. The earthquake which struck Afyon on 03 February 2002 at 09:11:28am (local time) caused great losses in human life and property in Afyon and Us surroundings (Çay, Sultandağı, Bolvadin, Çobanlar). According to the earthquake regime triggered by the tectonics of the region, 252 earthquakes with a magnitude of 4.0 and greater have struck. Afyon and its surroundings `which are under the effect of the Gediz graben, Dinar, Akşehir, and Emirdağ fault systems exist within an active tectonic system leading to earthquakes with a magnitude of 4:0 and greater once in 5 months.fVith this characteristic, the` occurrence probabilities of earthquakes in 30 years with a magnitude of 6.0 and 7,0 are 78% and 35% respectively. The greatest earthquake recorded in this area was in 1931 with a magnitude of 7.0. In terms of the Earthquake Zoning Map of Turkey,. Afyon and its surroundings, where 8 earthquakes of a magnitude of 6.0 have occurred so far, are termed as first order earthquake province. In this study, firstly,: using macroseismic observations and distributions of aftershocks, the isoseist map of the earthquake region for 03 February 2002 event is made. Secondly, the location of ihe origin of 03 February 2002 (09:11:28am, Md=6.0, Mw=6..5) Earthquake is estimated. In this effect, it can be concluded that this event is a result of Akşehir Fault Zone and it is essential to name it as Çay (Afyon) Earthquake. Abundance of geothermal fluids sampled with respect to active faults in the region, sediments and alterated deposits containing abundant underground `water, and the construction of faulty and uncontrolled buildings are the main factors increasing the damage, hazard in earthquakes..